BLS created its first five-source AI exposure benchmark for 831 U.S. occupations.

Published August 27, 2026 · High confidence · source-linked evidence

Signal IDbls-five-source-ai-exposure-categoriesConfidenceHigh

What changed

The evidence shift

BLS combined three theoretical measures with two observed-use measures from Anthropic and Microsoft, then classified all 831 detailed occupations as Low, Moderate, High or Very high relative AI exposure.

Why it matters

The decision context

The official federal benchmark reduces dependence on any single model provider and makes it possible to compare AI exposure with BLS employment, wage and projection evidence using the same occupation framework.

Who may be exposed

Where attention may be warranted

Workers, career planners, employers, workforce agencies, training providers and policy teams comparing how AI may affect different U.S. occupations.

What to watch next

The next trigger

Whether highly exposed occupations diverge in employment, hiring, wages and openings; how BLS revises the categories with new evidence; and the next 2026–36 release in 2027.

Evidence trail

Start with the underlying source.

AI-Risk.ai separates the source from our interpretation so the evidence can be checked independently.

Primary sourceU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — AI exposure categoriesOpen source ↗

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August 27, 2026 · High confidence

U.S. office and administrative support employment is now projected to fall 4% by 2035.

AI-related pressure is now part of the official U.S. long-run employment baseline, not only a finding in vendor or academic exposure models. The projection still does not prove that AI alone will cause the decline; BLS incorporates several structural and economic forces.

Open signal →

August 12, 2026 · High confidence

Early-career pressure is widening in AI-exposed U.S. occupations.

The adjustment is showing up mainly through weaker hiring of younger workers rather than broad economy-wide displacement. That makes entry-level access a more useful early-warning signal than headline layoff counts alone.

Open signal →

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Informational intelligence only. This signal is not individualized financial, employment, legal or investment advice.

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